South Africa
Greece
N. Korea
United States
Brazil
Slovenia
S. Korea
Cameroon
Spain
Serbia
Australia
Nigeria
Netherlands
Switzerland
Paraguay
Mexico
Italy
Portugal
Uruguay
Cote d'Ivoire
Germany
Denmark
New Zealand
Honduras
Argentina
France
Japan
Algeria
England
Slovakia
Chile
Ghana
I figure the seeded teams will be the teams listed first in each group, then the unseeded Europeans will be sorted out, followed by a combination of Asia/South
America/New Zealand, finished off by Africa and Concacaf.
If Costa Rica somehow defeats Uruguay, I think the sorting would be changed to: Seeded teams, UEFA, Asia and Concacaf, and then Africa, South America, and New
Zealand.
BTW, I didn't know that FIFA employed SEC football referees. The Irish were gypped.
0 Kudos
| Author | Comment | |||
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 Maroon Eagle
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Soccer Bracketology - way too early wild guesses |
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Posts: 3840 11/18/09 05:10 PM Manager of Deathtöngue |
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UpTheMiddlex3Punt |
If we can't advance out of that group, we should shut down our soccer program | #1 | ||
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Posts: 2495 11/18/09 05:12 PM |
I know it is just a guess, but that would be an excellent draw.
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MSUCostanza |
There is no way in hell... | #2 | ||
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Posts: 9639 11/18/09 05:34 PM Post Count + 10000 |
we get put in a group that easy.
Greg Byrne is the Stan Jones of athletic directors.
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msubullie4life |
#3 | |||
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Posts: 760 11/18/09 05:42 PM |
I think the top 8 seeds are going to be:
Brazil Spain Germany Italy Argentina England France South Africa (host) Netherlands will miss out on being one of the 8 seeds. While determining the seedings, FIFA gives a lot of weightage to previous 2 or 3 WCs (in 2006 it was the last 2 WCs..in 2002 and 1998, it was the previous 3 WCs...This years seeding system has not been announced yet). Of course, they take into account the world rankings in the past 3 years too. Seeing that the French were finalists last year and Holland missed the 2002 WC, it is difficult to see the Dutch (or any other team like Portugal) leap-frog the French. |
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Maroon Eagle |
True. The Dutch are #3 in the rankings though... | #4 | ||
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Posts: 3841 11/18/09 06:03 PM Manager of Deathtöngue |
France is #9, and I think it'll be between those two countries for the last seeded spot. I'm also kind of thinking the French might be unseeded
because of Henry's handball earlier this afternoon.
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Maroon Eagle |
I agree... | #5 | ||
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Posts: 3842 11/18/09 06:12 PM Manager of Deathtöngue |
That being said, if the USA, Mexico, and Honduras are indeed grouped with Africa the US has a one-third chance of being drawn in South Africa's group
because I don't expect FIFA to group two African teams together, and the way the qualification looks so far-- I would not be surprised if Concacaf and
Africa are grouped together.
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msubullie4life |
You are right..the battle for the last seed is between the French and the Dutch | #6 | ||
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Posts: 762 11/18/09 06:47 PM |
Ok, I did some quick Math using the 2006 formula:
Here's how it stands: According to FIFA calculations, 1st place gets 32 pts...2nd place, 31 pts and so on Standing (Pts) Dutch/French 02 WC (33.3%): 0(0)/28(8) (Looks like FIFA awards 8 points to all the last place finishers in the group stage of WC) 06 WC (66.7%): 9(24)/2(31) (the Dutch lost in the 2nd round and I placed them 9th based on their finish in Group game points table) Total WC pts: 16 (Dutch)/23.33 (French) Nov 09 Rankings (33.3%): 3(30)/9(24) Dec 08 Rankings (33.3%): 4(29)/12(21) Dec 07 Rankings (33.3%): 9(24)/7(26) Total Ranking pts: 27.67 (Dutch)/ 23.67 (French) OVERALL Points: 43.67 (Dutch)/ 47 (French) I'm surprised at how close the point difference is. Of course, the FIFA can come up with a totally different formula for the 2010 draw. If the seeding formula remains the same as 2006, which ever seeded team is going to draw the Dutch are 17ed. They seem to be in terrific form. PS: If you take the 1998/2002 formula into account where they take the previous 3 WCs (50%, 33.3% and 16.7%) into calcualtions instead of only the previous 2 (66.7% and 33.3%), it still is slight advantage to the French as they won the WC in 1998 (The Dutch finished 4th). |
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Replies
| Soccer Bracketology - way too early wild guesses | 11/18/09 05:10 PM | Maroon Eagle |
| If we can't advance out of that group, we should shut down our soccer program | 11/18/09 05:12 PM | UpTheMiddlex3Punt |
| There is no way in hell... | 11/18/09 05:34 PM | MSUCostanza |
| I agree... | 11/18/09 06:12 PM | Maroon Eagle |
| Re: Soccer Bracketology - way too early wild guesses | 11/18/09 05:42 PM | msubullie4life |
| True. The Dutch are #3 in the rankings though... | 11/18/09 06:03 PM | Maroon Eagle |
| You are right..the battle for the last seed is between the French and the Dutch | 11/18/09 06:47 PM | msubullie4life |
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