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  1. #1

    Warren Nolan's Advanced CWS Odds

    http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2019/simulation-cws

    Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.

    Odds to win Bracket 1:

    Texas Tech 34.6%
    Arkansas 33.7%
    Michigan 19.2%
    Florida State 12.5%

    Odds to win Bracket 2:
    Mississippi State 40.6%
    Vanderbilt 31.5%
    Louisville 22.3%
    Auburn 5.6%

    Odds to win National Championship:
    Mississippi State 23.0%
    Vanderbilt 18.2%
    Texas Tech 15.6%
    Arkansas 15.2%
    Louisville 12.5%
    Michigan 8.3%
    Florida State 5.1%
    Auburn 2.2%


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  2. #2
    Defensive Coordinator Shamoan's Avatar
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  3. #3
    Quote Originally Posted by 615dawg View Post
    http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2019/simulation-cws

    Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.

    Odds to win Bracket 1:

    Texas Tech 34.6%
    Arkansas 33.7%
    Michigan 19.2%
    Florida State 12.5%

    Odds to win Bracket 2:
    Mississippi State 40.6%
    Vanderbilt 31.5%
    Louisville 22.3%
    Auburn 5.6%

    Odds to win National Championship:
    Mississippi State 23.0%
    Vanderbilt 18.2%
    Texas Tech 15.6%
    Arkansas 15.2%
    Louisville 12.5%
    Michigan 8.3%
    Florida State 5.1%
    Auburn 2.2%
    We need to stop with this. Wool is growing over and it's way too hot for that.


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  4. #4
    I'm guessing our advantage here is playing AU first rather than Vandy or Louisville. That, and we have a pretty damn good bunch of bats and arms. Now let's just go win it all.


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  5. #5
    Quote Originally Posted by 615dawg View Post
    http://warrennolan.com/baseball/2019/simulation-cws

    Each game of the College World Series is simulated 100,000 times to determine the probability of each team advancing to the CWS Championship Series and winning the National Championship.

    Odds to win Bracket 1:

    Texas Tech 34.6%
    Arkansas 33.7%
    Michigan 19.2%
    Florida State 12.5%

    Odds to win Bracket 2:
    Mississippi State 40.6%
    Vanderbilt 31.5%
    Louisville 22.3%
    Auburn 5.6%

    Odds to win National Championship:
    Mississippi State 23.0%
    Vanderbilt 18.2%
    Texas Tech 15.6%
    Arkansas 15.2%
    Louisville 12.5%
    Michigan 8.3%
    Florida State 5.1%
    Auburn 2.2%
    That is impressive for us. Also confirms my thinking about Texas Tech. They are the lighting in a bottle team as we were last year.

    I wouldnít count out Louisville as Cinderella either.


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  6. #6
    We do have an advantage by not playing Louisville or Vandy's aces. If we lose to Auburn, we have given up our advantage.


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  7. #7
    Quote Originally Posted by Shamoan View Post
    Perfect


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  8. #8
    aTotal360's Avatar
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    K.O.D.
    90 percent of college football teams do not cheat...the other 10 percent are ranked.


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  9. #9
    Quote Originally Posted by Len2003 View Post
    We do have an advantage by not playing Louisville or Vandy's aces. If we lose to Auburn, we have given up our advantage.
    Yea, but they are not playing ours either.


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  10. #10
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    Last edited by dawgnabit; 06-14-2019 at 05:11 PM.


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  11. #11

    If the pitching works out

    that's just the way it's gonna be.
    Jack may be gone, but he is "EVER PRESENT"


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  12. #12
    TaleofTwoDogs's Avatar
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    Caesar's Palace odds - tourist action

    Warren Nolan odds - serious playa


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  13. #13
    IBleedMaroonDawg's Avatar
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  14. #14
    maroonmadman's Avatar
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    I had a premonition that we will play Michigan in the finals and it will go a full 3 games. We ultimately prevail. Take it for what it's worth.


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  15. #15
    Is this the same model that picked us to go 0-30 in the SEC last year?


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  16. #16
    Nostradamas at work!
    Jack may be gone, but he is "EVER PRESENT"


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  17. #17
    Not off to a great start with Texas Tech.


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  18. #18
    Doesnít Like Tennessee
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    Texas Tech and Arkansasí chances to win it all dropped to 4% after the losses. Yikes


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