
Originally Posted by
Russ Wheeler
They are still a 'Have' program, bottom line. To me, the 'Haves' can win a national title, the 'Have-Nots' can't. It's that simple. Yes, there will be a few outliers over a long period of time, but in general that rule applies.
The question is how long do you remain a 'Have' if you do not compete for a title? I usually say 20-25 years. That makes sense because Michigan, Tennessee and Nebraska are all lumped together and they were in that late 90s run together too. They are all in danger of sliding into permanent mediocrity, and they'll all have to build back up the hard way. Miami is right behind them.
Can you come back? Sure, but you have to do it the hard way. Take Clemson for example. They last won it all in 1981, but they weren't considered a true 'have' that could win it all until they built back up and actually did it. However, I think they still had a recruiting cache built up over the years because once you win a title, it does seem to be the understanding that you'll eventually get back. Notre Dame is 'kinda' in this territory, they've come back, but haven't won it yet.
Oregon is a good example of what it takes to build to a point of winning a title, from nothing. They had to have Nike behind to get there, and they still haven't pulled it off yet, though they've been very close twice. Are they a Have? Fringe probably.
Look at Michigan State, Arkansas, Ole Miss. They'll all won titles. But nobody considers any of them a real contender. Have-Nots, even though Sparty did make a playoff (that is not enough). Texas A&M, with all their money, is still here in my opinion, though they may be considered by some to be fringe with Oregon just because of that money. Again, there are always outliers.
Washington and Georgia Tech are weird ones, they won the title in 1990 or whatever, and have done some good things. But I don't anyone can consider them a Have right now, but they could get into that territory quickly.
Then you have a few like Georgia that are Haves, well, just because. Be crazy to say otherwise, sometimes it's just common sense. Penn State is another. Maybe they fall from grace eventually. Honestly Michigan is probably here too.